CHINAMacroReporter

'Jack Ma Misreads Xi Jinping'

Where in the World is Jack Ma?

"The reason why Jack Ma and others could build enormous Internet companies is because the Party had no idea what they were doing. They became famous globally and made China look very good, but then the Party had to figure out how to get their arms around them."
by

Neil Thomas

|

The China Wire

January 16, 2021
'Jack Ma Misreads Xi Jinping'
At the Bund Summit on October 24th, Ma called China’s financial regulators a “geriatric club.” Since then, analysts called his speech the most expensive in history.

‘Analysts say the shift away from private enterprises is a sign Beijing felt that the private sector was getting ahead of the Party’s ability to control things.’

'Beijing has grown increasingly suspicious of powerful business elites.'

  • 'Under a new paramount leader, Xi Jinping, the Party has begun to exert greater control over the private sector, with plans announced last September to cultivate a “backbone team” of business executives who “unswervingly follow the Party” and cooperate in “major national strategies.” '

'There’s little doubt that business elites who defy the Party will be dealt with harshly.'

  • 'In recent years, Beijing has hunted down entrepreneurs, seized their assets, and broken up and occasionally even nationalized firms deemed a systemic risk to the economy.'
  • 'In Hong Kong, the authorities kidnapped the billionaire Xiao Jianhua from the Four Seasons Hotel and then smuggled him across the border into mainland China, before dismantling his financial empire.'
  • 'Just last week, the government handed down a life sentence for one corrupt state executive and a death sentence to another.'

‘The Chinese Communist Party, of course, has never been entirely comfortable with capitalists.’

  • ‘Throughout its 71-year-history, even when the Party has relied heavily on market-driven growth, it has viewed private firms as a source of inequality, a rival to state enterprises, and perhaps an independent force that could undermine Party rule.’

‘ “The Party likes to control everything,” says Bruce J. Dickson of George Washington University.’

  • ‘ “They worry about independent sources of wealth as a threat to the government. And there are two ways of dealing with that threat: you co-opt it or you crush it.” ’

‘China, through the decades, has done both.’

  • ‘It has invited businessmen to become members of the Communist Party, when that suited the goals of the leadership.’

‘And it has ousted and imprisoned them in strikingly large numbers, and then publicly pilloried them, as Jack Ma is now experiencing.’

  • ‘Perhaps no other nation has arrested more billionaires and brought them to heel.’

‘Analysts say the shift away from private enterprises is a sign Beijing felt that the private sector was getting ahead of the Party’s ability to control things.’

  • ‘They say Beijing is now reasserting control over the economy and private entrepreneurs, bringing to an end a decades-long period of free-wheeling capitalism and globe-trotting business tycoons.’

‘The Party has generally succeeded in eliciting support from entrepreneurs by giving them a greater stake in the system.’

  • ‘But as the private sector has ballooned in China — private firms comprised 84 percent of all companies in 2018, up from 17 percent in 1996 — the Party has felt its influence over business wane.’
  • ‘A 2017 study by the Unirule Institute of Economics, a Chinese think tank since shut down by Beijing, found that 92 percent of private entrepreneurs believed political involvement helped their business, but only a small minority actually cared about the political goals of the Party.’

‘For Xi, such ambivalence is alarming.’

  • ‘He has been clear about the need for risk-taking executives to respect control-oriented policies, including new regulations that strengthen United Front work in private firms and stress the need for “ideological and political education” of entrepreneurs.’

‘He has also made moves to elevate the role of corporate Party committees from simply organizing political trainings for a firm’s Party members to “monitoring” whether business choices respect Party policy.’

  • ‘To that end, his campaign to achieve “comprehensive coverage” of Party committees in private firms has led to is the strictest supervision since the Mao era.’
  • ‘According to an official survey, the proportion of private firms with Party committees rose from just 4 percent in 1993 to 48.3 percent in 2018, with a growth rate that’s more than doubled under Xi.’

"The reason why Jack Ma and others could build enormous Internet companies is because the Party had no idea what they were doing. They became famous globally and made China look very good, but then the Party had to figure out how to get their arms around them."

‘Even Jack Ma, the country’s best-known entrepreneur, seems to have fallen out of favor with the Party.’

  • ‘He’s been upbraided by Beijing and denounced in state media.’
  • ‘Xi is reported to have personally intervened to cancel the global stock offering of Ma’s Ant Group on the eve of what was expected to be the biggest IPO in history, following a strident speech Ma made in October.’
  • ‘In the aftermath, banking and antitrust regulators are threatening to carve up parts of Ma’s $400 billion empire amid reports the 56-year-old internet tycoon has gone missing.’

‘It was the fall of 2020, and Jack Ma had reason to worry.’

  • ‘Recent moves by Beijing would tighten controls on digital finance and could stymie the business model of his digital payments company, Ant Group.’
  • ‘With Ant’s upcoming debut on Shanghai’s STAR market expected to be the biggest in history — a record $37 billion listing — Ma felt like he should speak up.’

‘At the Bund Forum in Shanghai last October, he blasted China’s financial regulators as a “geriatric club” and argued that the tools they were using to control China’s financial system were misguided and out of touch.’

  • ‘The imposition of reserve requirements on micro-lenders such as Ant, he said, would be like “feeding dementia medication meant for seniors to a child suffering from polio.” ’
  • ‘People close to Ma told Reuters that he rejected suggestions to soften his remarks at the Bund Forum because the tech titan believed that “he should be able to say what he wanted.” ’

‘After Ma’s speech, Xi ordered an investigation into Ant’s lending practices, and just two days before Ant’s planned debut on November 5, the Shanghai Stock Exchange suspended Ant’s listing — the stated reason being the sudden approval (with Xi’s blessing) of tough new rules that require Ant to guarantee up to $20 billion more of its loans.’

  • ‘In a sensational report published in late December, The Wall Street Journal said that just before the authorities canceled the Ant Group IPO in November, Jack Ma offered to hand over to the government parts of his online financial emporium.'
  • ‘Then a week later, Beijing also announced antitrust measures for tech firms.’
  • ‘Ant’s market valuation, by one estimate, has been halved.’

‘Ma is a Party member and once boasted to fellow entrepreneurs about his closeness with Xi Jinping.’

  • ‘But while the national business hero has prevailed against regulators in the past, observers say his speech contravened the prevailing wisdom for business leaders in China since Rong’s time.’
  • ‘That is, “serve the Party — within whatever limits the current Party line allows, but don’t get too far out in front,” says Jerome A. Cohen, a legal scholar.’
  • ‘ “Towing the party-line in public statements is safer than expressing independent opinions about China’s political economy,” says Kellee S. Tsai, a professor at Hong Kong University of Science & Technology.’
  • ‘ “Look what happened to Ren Zhiqiang [the real estate tycoon recently sentenced to 18 years in prison for criticizing the Party].” ’

‘But in addition to brazen contempt for Party officials, Ma’s transgression was made worse by his seeming obliviousness to the Party’s economic goals, which have shifted considerably in recent years.’

  • ‘In 2015, a stock market crisis combined with unexpectedly volatile experiments in RMB devaluation “played a huge role in convincing Xi Jinping that the private sector was not under control, that the Party-State had not even close to sufficient insight into what corporate finance was like in China and into what financial innovation was happening,” says Harvard’s Meg Rithmire.’

‘De-risking China’s debt-laden financial system became one of Xi’s top priorities.’

  • ‘Even though Ma may be right about the need for more innovation in China’s financial sector, Rithmire says his speech highlighted how the fissures between profit-maximization and Party priorities have widened in recent years.’
  • ‘ “It used to be that, within limits, capitalists were allowed to do what they wanted to do because their pursuit of profits was producing economic growth for China,” Rithmire says.’
  • ‘ “But things changed once the Party-State started to see them as a potential source of financial risk, and therefore as a potential source of risk to social stability. For a long time, we thought that growth was the bottom line for the CCP, but the bottom line is actually social stability.”’

‘ “The reason why Jack Ma and others could build enormous Internet companies is because the Party had no idea what they were doing,” says Jim McGregor of APCO China.'

  • ' “They became famous globally and made China look very good, but then the Party had to figure out how to get their arms around them.” ’

‘Xi, of course, is not Mao.’

  • ‘He believes the private sector is an “intrinsic element” of China’s economy and refers to entrepreneurs as “our people.” ’
  • ‘Xi does not want to socialize business; he mostly wants private firms to support Party policies.’
  • ‘And if the decision to rein in Ma is any indication, he will likely succeed.’

More

CHINAMacroReporter

March 21, 2022
Faint Cracks
For some time now we’ve taken it for granted that Xi Jinping has so consolidated his power that his will is China policy.
keep reading
March 13, 2022
Is China in a Bind?
It wants to support Russia, but also wants to support the international order from which benefits and doesn’t want to alienate the major economies its own economy is intertwined with.
keep reading
February 19, 2022
Under Construction: Two (Opposing) World Orders
Years ago, before the so-called ‘New Cold War,’ when asked what China issue interested me most, I said, ‘China and the liberal world order.’
keep reading
April 15, 2021
'TSMC faces pressure to choose a side in US-China tech war'
‘Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) has maintained its historic position of neutrality, reflected in the company’s strategy of “being everyone’s foundry”.’
keep reading
April 14, 2021
The Belt & Road in the Post-Pandemic World
In this issue of China Macro Commentary, I have focused just on the ‘Digital Silk Road’ and how it supports the business expansion of Chinese tech companies, and on BRI ‘connectivity’ projects: ports (China is involved in 93 around the world) and on the growing China-Europe freight trains traffic (This wasn't covered sufficiently in the Report, so I included a recent article from the Wall Street Journal), plus on the U.S.'s failure to meet the BRI challenge.
keep reading
April 13, 2021
'2021 Annual Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community'
‘China increasingly is a near-peer competitor, challenging the United States in multiple arenas—especially economically, militarily, and technologically—and is pushing to change global norms.’
keep reading
April 13, 2021
In Battle With U.S. for Global Sway, China Showers Money on Europe’s Neglected Areas
‘The number of freight trains running between China and Europe topped 12,400 last year, 50% higher than in 2019 and seven times that of 2016, according to Chinese authorities.’
keep reading
April 11, 2021
'Why manufacturing matters to economic superpowers'
‘Whether such reshoring matters for national economies depends very much on the industry.’
keep reading
April 11, 2021
China in Jamie Dimon's Letter to Shareholders
‘China does not have a straight road to becoming the dominant economic power’.
keep reading
April 11, 2021
'Alibaba’s rivals on alert after China’s regulators hand out record fine'
“Everyone with a clear mind won't self-regulate, you just pretend that you do. Who will pay for the loss if you lost your competitive advantage because you self-regulated and others didn't?”
keep reading
April 10, 2021
Alibaba: 'Promote the healthy and sustainable development of the platform economy'
‘From the perspective of the long-term and healthy development of the platform economy, regulation by law and support for development are not contradictory, but are complementary and mutually reinforcing.'
keep reading
April 9, 2021
'The Best Explanation of Biden’s Economic Thinking I’ve Heard'
‘When President Biden’s thinking about the infrastructure investments necessary, a lot of it is in contraposition to what he is seeing China doing in terms of strategic investments.’
keep reading
April 8, 2021
Liu Ge: Competing with China a farfetched guise for US’ infrastructure plan
‘Historically speaking, it seems the only way for the US government to make costly public investments was to create an adversary that is presumed to threaten its security.’
keep reading
April 8, 2021
'Antony Blinken interview: The secretary of state offers a window into Biden's foreign policy decisions'
‘ “Our goal is not to contain China, hold China back, keep it down,” Blinken underlined.’
keep reading
April 8, 2021
'US adds Chinese supercomputing companies to export blacklist'
‘The Biden administration took its first trade action against China on Thursday, adding seven Chinese supercomputing developers to an export blacklist for assisting Chinese military efforts in a move that will likely further escalate frosty tensions between the world's two largest economies.’
keep reading
April 7, 2021
'Remarks by President Biden on the American Jobs Plan'
‘Look, do we think the rest of world is waiting around? Take a look. Do you think China is waiting around to invest in this digital infrastructure or in research and development?’
keep reading
April 7, 2021
China: 'Power Trader'
‘The theory of power trade better explains China’s economic and trade policies than does the theory of free trade or protectionism,’
keep reading
April 6, 2021
'Train Wreck: Ultimately companies have to choose.’
MUST READ: Bill Reinsch succinctly but brilliantly summarizes the situations in China and the U.S. and between the two.
keep reading
April 6, 2021
'Buy American!': Pushing U.S. Companies to Onshore Supply Chains
The debate about how to deal with China commercially ‘has moved in two directions: running faster—improving our innovation capabilities in critical technologies to better compete with China—and slowing China down by restricting its access to U.S. technology.’
keep reading
April 4, 2021
'Why Defending Taiwan is in the U.S. National Interest'
‘As long as Washington assesses that American security is best served by defending forward—an approach that has served the United States well over the past 70 years—Taiwan’s de facto independence will remain a key US interest and driver of American policy in Asia.’
keep reading
April 4, 2021
'Why China Is Going All "Wolf Warrior," All the Time'
‘All this is to say that, living in Beijing as I do, I think the current approach is predictable and consistent with everything else we are seeing in China in the New Era.’
keep reading
April 3, 2021
'With Swarms of Ships, Beijing Tightens Its Grip on South China Sea'
‘Not long ago, China asserted its claims on the South China Sea by building and fortifying artificial islands in waters also claimed by Vietnam, the Philippines and Malaysia.’
keep reading
April 2, 2021
'Genesis Celebrates Launch In China With Dazzling, World Record-breaking Drone Show Over Shanghai's Iconic Skyline'
'The spectacular visuals were coordinated to present the world of Genesis, delivering an audacious storytelling concept while also breaking the Guinness World Records for "The Most Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) airborne simultaneously".’
keep reading
April 2, 2021
Mo' Infrastructure, Mo' Problems Copy
‘China’s reliance on building roads, railways and airports to support growth has caused a spike in debt, with some of that money funneled into unnecessary infrastructure and uneconomic boondoggle developments.’
keep reading
April 2, 2021
How Does the U.S. Compare to China?
Two reports from Bloomberg – ‘Biden Starts Infrastructure Bet With U.S. Far Behind China’ and ‘Biden’s Biggest-Ever Investment Plan for U.S. Still Trails China’ – highlight a few of the differences.
keep reading
April 2, 2021
USTR | '2021 National Trade Estimate Report on FOREIGN TRADE BARRIERS'
‘Made in China 2025 seeks to build up Chinese companies in the ten targeted, strategic sectors at the expense of, and to the detriment of, foreign industries and their technologies through a multi-step process over ten years.’
keep reading
April 2, 2021
‘2021 Report Card for America’s Infrastructure’
‘The 2021 Report Card for America’s Infrastructure reveals we’ve made some incremental progress toward restoring our nation’s infrastructure.’ ‘For the first time in 20 years, our infrastructure is out of the D range. America's Infrastructure Scores a C-.’
keep reading
April 2, 2021
'US to make it easier for diplomats to meet Taiwanese officials'
'Plan to loosen restrictions on contacts with Taipei threatens to provoke China.'
keep reading
April 2, 2021
Biden Starts Infrastructure Bet With U.S. Far Behind China
Even though he didn’t rely solely on the China challenge to justify his new American Jobs Plan; devoted to infrastructure and more, President Biden certainly he had China in his sights. Because as Jonathan Hillman, a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, wrote“The United States is entering what could be a decades-long competition in which economic and technological power will matter just as much, if not more, than military might.” “Starting this race with decaying infrastructure is like lining up for a marathon with a broken ankle.”
keep reading
April 2, 2021
President Biden Lays Out His ‘American Jobs’ Plan
‘It has become a cliché in U.S. policy circles that the best China policy is to invest in core U.S. capabilities: education, infrastructure, and research and development,’ writes Evan Medeiros of Georgetown University in ‘How to Craft a Durable China Strategy,’ in Foreign Affairs.
keep reading
April 2, 2021
'China’s Dangerous Double Game in North Korea'
‘Beijing’s North Korea policy is primarily motivated by a desire to counter U.S. power in the Asia-Pacific region and increase Chinese influence on the Korean Peninsula.
keep reading
April 2, 2021
'Japan’s Suga to Be the First Foreign Leader to Meet With Biden'
‘Japan walks a narrow line as it seeks to maintain close ties with its only military ally, the U.S., while avoiding damage to economic ties with its biggest trade partner, China.
keep reading
April 1, 2021
'Convicted in Hong Kong'
‘Everyone in the former British colony understands the message being sent from Hong Kong’s new masters in Beijing:’
keep reading
April 1, 2021
'U.S. dollar at risk as China races ahead on digital yuan'
‘So why should America care about any of this?’
keep reading
April 1, 2021
PRC Foreign Ministry Response to the USTR's 'National Trade Estimate Report'
‘The accusations and slanders made by the US against China's industrial policies are groundless.’
keep reading
March 31, 2021
'Consumer boycotts warn of trouble ahead for Western firms in China'
‘Western executives in China cannot shake an unsettling fear that this time is different.’‘Their lucrative Chinese operations are at rising risk of tumbling into the political chasm that has opened between the West and China.’
keep reading
March 31, 2021
'How the Pandemic is Changing the Belt & Road Initiative'
‘The building of roads, railways, ports, and power plants is giving way to a BRI centered on technology—primarily telecommunications, connectivity, health care, and financial services.’
keep reading

Heading

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Suspendisse varius enim in eros elementum tristique. Duis cursus, mi quis viverra ornare, eros dolor interdum nulla, ut commodo diam libero vitae erat. Aenean faucibus nibh et justo cursus id rutrum lorem imperdiet. Nunc ut sem vitae risus tristique posuere.