CHINAMacroReporter

'Breaking China’s Stranglehold on the U.S. Rare Earth Elements Supply Chain'

‘China’s control of the supply of usable, refined rare earth elements undermines U.S. security and that of its allies.’
by

Larry M. Wortzel & Kate Selley

|

American Foreign Policy Council

April 16, 2021
'Breaking China’s Stranglehold on the U.S. Rare Earth Elements Supply Chain'
Dr. Larry Wortzel is Senior Fellow in Asian Security at the American Foreign Policy Council. He served as a commissioner on the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission for 19 years, including two years as Chairman. Dr. Wortzel, who is also Col. Wortzel (ret), served two tours of duty as a military attaché in the U.S. Embassy in Beijing.
BIG IDEA | ‘China’s control of the supply of usable, refined rare earth elements undermines U.S. security and that of its allies.’
‘And, at the moment, the U.S. does not have a strategic plan or vision to assure its own technological and national security success in this arena.’

As a child of a certain era, whenever I hear about rare earths, I can't help thinking of my go-to karaoke song, 'Get Ready,' by - you guessed it - the band, Rare Earth.

That said, among the points raised in Larry Wortzel’s excellent analysis is that China dominates the rare earth industry even though it only has 40% of the world’s rare earth deposits.

  • The rest it acquired through shrewd foreign acquisitions.
  • And also by again employing the Belt & Road Initiative for a strategic purpose.

‘Over the years, the U.S. has become dependent on a potential adversary for some of the most crucial materials in high technology production: rare earth elements.’

‘This was not always the case.’

  • ‘From the 1960s through the 1980s, the S. was the world leader in rare earth element production, most of which came from the Mountain Pass Mine in California.’
  • ‘By the early 1990s, however, weaker labor and environmental laws allowed China to begin to satisfy the demand for rare earth elements.’
  • ‘Twenty-five years later, the U.S. imported all of the rare earth elements it required, mostly from China.’

‘In the U.S. today, although other mines are under development, the Mountain Pass Mine in San Bernardino County, California, is the only operational rare earth metals mine.’

  • ‘It produces about 10 percent of all rare-earth concentrate, from which the metals are extract
  • ‘Yet the mine does not process its own materials— nor does any other S. firm. Instead, the extracted materials are shipped to China for processing.’

‘Although China controls less than 40% of the world’s REE deposits, it has over time increased its global proportion of supply by subsidizing the relocation of companies involved in the rare earths supply chain to China and through the acquisition of foreign firms.’

‘The PRC government, meanwhile, as part of Communist Party General Secretary Xi Jinping’s “Belt & Road Initiative,” (BRI) has strategically catalogued where along the BRI it can develop and secure rare earth elements.’

‘China’s control of the supply of usable, refined rare earth elements undermines U.S. security and that of its allies.’

  • ‘And, at the moment, the U.S. does not have a strategic plan or vision to assure its own technological and national security success in this arena.’

‘The Biden administration has now taken the first steps to addressing America’s critical vulnerability to China’s control of the global rare earths market. The new Administration’s Executive Order maps out a “whole of government” approach to solving the rare earth elements supply chain problem:’

  • ‘The Secretary of Defense (as the National Defense Stockpile Manager), in consultation with the heads of appropriate agencies, shall submit a report identifying risks in the supply chain for critical minerals and other identified strategic materials, including rare earth elements, and policy recommendations to address these risks.’
  • ‘The report shall also describe and update work done ‘Addressing the Threat to the Domestic Supply Chain From Reliance on Critical Minerals From Foreign Adversaries and Supporting the Domestic Mining and Processing Industries.’

More

CHINAMacroReporter

October 31, 2022
Xi's China: 'less reliable, less predictable, and less efficient'
‘China’s predictability is being eroded by the frequent, erratic policy shifts that have taken place in recent months, such as the unexpected disruptions to power supplies that took place in 2021, and the sudden mass lockdowns that were imposed in an attempt to contain COVID.'
keep reading
October 18, 2022
Xi Jinping: ‘Crossing a threshold to outright dictatorship?’'
The view from inside China appears to be quite different. Yes, the Chinese people may grumble about the Zero-COVID lockdowns, and just a few days a banner critical of Mr. Xi and his regime was unveiled over an overpass in Beijing.
keep reading
October 10, 2022
The 20th Party Congress with All Eyes are on Xi Jinping
The attention to Mr. Xi is in large part because he will exit the Party Congress with even greater power, no discernible opposition, and a new five-year term (with more likely to follow). And many of the constraints that may have been in place not to jeopardize his reappointment will be gone.
keep reading
March 9, 2017
So many twists and turns to the China Housing markets story
[CHINADebate Presentation] One of the highlights in our recent 'In Pursuit of Patterns' series of client notes, showed that the land sales growth had tended to lead the price growth and a significant increase in land sales would lead, with a lag, to the subsequent correction in prices.—Almost everyone on the outside seems to have missed the biggest bull market in China housing in 2016, culminating in policy tightening cycle kicking in at the end of the year. But what's next?
keep reading
February 27, 2017
Is The U.S. Ceding Global Leadership To China?
'China isn't positioned to replace the U.S. as a global leader anytime soon.'—Hard on President Trump's 'American First' inaugural address, Xi Jinping gave a rousing paean to globalism at the World Economic Forum. And, immediately the hot question became: 'Is the U.S. ceding global leadership to China?' Yes and no, says Bill Overholt of the Harvard Asia Center. Yes, the U.S. is ceding global leadership. No, China won’t replace the U.S. What will replace the U.S. is ‘G-Zero’, a world with no single global leader. Not China, not the U.S. So, can his critics lay this outcome at President Trump’s feet?
keep reading
February 15, 2017
C-to-C Internet Commerce- From Taobao Shops to Taobao Villages
One is some of the local government-owned SOEs are the sources for overcapacity. The reason is because the local government also wants to ensure there's some degree of employment locally, and perhaps some source of taxation. The Chinese government is now going to need to start the so-called supply-side economics to try to consolidate overcapacity in a number of sectors. It's going to impinge on the interests of many of these local SOEs as well as the local governments who own them.
keep reading
February 15, 2017
How SOEs & Local Governments Create Overcapacity
One is some of the local government-owned SOEs are the sources for overcapacity. The reason is because the local government also wants to ensure there's some degree of employment locally, and perhaps some source of taxation. The Chinese government is now going to need to start the so-called supply-side economics to try to consolidate overcapacity in a number of sectors. It's going to impinge on the interests of many of these local SOEs as well as the local governments who own them.
keep reading
February 15, 2017
Why SOE Reform is So Tough
'...SOEs need to reform, because on one hand, many of them have achieved a lot for China. On the other hand, they've actually created quite a lot of harm, in particular in the areas of overcapacity but also in the areas of corruption we've talked about.'
keep reading
February 2, 2017
AmCham China Chairmen's View From China in D.C. 2017
[AmCham China & CHINADebate U.S.—China Trade/Business Series 2017] Terrific insights from leaders on the ground in China. While in D.C. the Chairmen joined us in a panel discussion and individual interviews about U.S. business in China, U.S.-China relations, trade, and much more. We present their views in a 13 part series. Sheryl WuDunn, business executive, lecturer, best-selling author, and winner of the Pulitzer Prize moderated.
keep reading
February 1, 2017
'Chinese Politics In The Xi Jinping Era'
[Malcolm Riddell Interviewed Cheng Li] 'If you ask any taxi driver in Beijing, Shanghai, or Guangzhou, he or she will tell you – with accuracy – which leader belongs to which faction. : 'China is a one–party state, but that does not necessarily mean Chinese leadership is a monolithic group with leaders who have the same ideas, same background, same world views, same politics. No, they're divided.'
keep reading
December 7, 2016
First 100 Days: Do Not Provoke China
The First 100 Days interview series features Pacific Council experts addressing the top foreign policy issues facing the incoming Trump administration.: Warns of the potential for new conflicts if Donald Trump follows through with his campaign promises regarding China.
keep reading
October 18, 2016
How Alibaba, Xiaomi, & Tencent are Changing the Rules of Business
[An Interview of Ed Tse, the author of 'China's Disruptors: Alibaba, Xiaomi, & Tencent... how innovative 'Disruptor' companies are restructuring China's economy.' ] The real force in Chinese economy is increasingly private companies, not SOEs. / Leading private Chinese companies are innovative and ambitious
keep reading
July 14, 2016
How 'Brexit' Will Impact China's Economy
David Dollar gives you fresh insights to better incorporate Brexit's impact into your analyses of China and global economies & markets, including: 1. Why, after the Brexit vote, did the Shanghai Stock Market fall only 1%? 2. How will Brexit affect the value of the RMB and China's currency policy? 3. How will Brexit impact trade with the EU, China’s largest trading partner? 4. Why, in the larger geopolitical perspective, could China be the big winner from Brexit?
keep reading
July 2, 2016
China housing: boom, bust, or bubble-or...?
100s of Cities Bubble Up & Down As Policy Makers Press the Levers China hasn’t collapsed. And, the bubble hasn’t burst because there may not be just one big real estate bubble. Instead, there are 100s of sizable cities, each moving in its own cycle, each responding to how its local policymakers stimulate & tighten-stimulate & tighten, and each having performance divergent from that of other cities. Watch here to see how city-level markets bubble up and bubble down...
keep reading

Heading

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Suspendisse varius enim in eros elementum tristique. Duis cursus, mi quis viverra ornare, eros dolor interdum nulla, ut commodo diam libero vitae erat. Aenean faucibus nibh et justo cursus id rutrum lorem imperdiet. Nunc ut sem vitae risus tristique posuere.